Big Brother 13: Opinions, Odds, and Predictions

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Big Brother 13: Opinions, Odds, and Predictions

Big Brother 13
Opinions, Odds, and Predictions

August 25, 2011
by MattD

Week 7 is just about in the books now, and for that matter so is week 8. Week 8 of course will last about 30 minutes or so depending on how quickly the live show moves along. I'd say it's about 90-95% that Danielle is being evicted, and we're kind of waiting for a blowup from her. Who's in the best shape? Who will be 2nd evicted tonight? Here are my thoughts about those things and much more.

{sidebar id=2}8 to possibly 5 in one night. As you know we have a fast forward/double eviction tonight. Now's when the game starts moving fast and the feeds become less and less worth watching as less people are in the house. Tonight we have the "8th place" eviction, the HOH, nominations, POV, POV ceremony, and the "7th place eviction" all during the live show. That will leave 6 in the house . There will be another HOH that we won't see live after the show that'll be shown Sunday. So if whoever survives the Dani/Kalia eviction tonight, also survives the 2nd eviction then wins the later HOH they can go from not being assured of anything more than 8th to being assured of at least 5th.

Odds: As always there's some changes. The four people that I feel have a legit shot at winning are still the four, though I'm still going back and forth on who will be THE one to take home the 500K. If Adam flips it could really change things. However at this writing I don't believe he will. As for Adam he's the only one I don't feel has a realistic chance to be the "2nd evictee" tonight. I'd be surprised if it's Jordan as well , the only way with her is if someone puts her up with Jeff then Jeff wins POV, even then I wouldn't be sure. Last minute adjustment here: Adam has indeed closed the door on flipping, but against all odds, Rachel seems like she might. It's anybody's guess what could happen tonight. But again understand, a hell of a lot going to happen one way or another. It's still not for sure that Dani's out, then of course the 30 minute week, then another HOH later tonight. Today is probably the most important day of the season. These odds are based on where I think people are at literally this very second.

Jeff 10-3
Jordan 4-1
Adam 4-1
Shelly 5-1
Porsche 8-1
Rachel 20-1
Daniele 22-1
Kalia 50-1

Vet will win 9-10
Newbie 10-9

Obviously no clear cut favorite. Every HG has plenty of reasons why they won't win.

Jeff 10-3: "Big Jeff" as he likes to call himself seemed to be sitting really good, and is still sitting pretty good. I literally think Adam would rather get poked in the eye with a stick than do something to piss him off. Doesn't stop Jeff from being paranoid of him. He has good reason to be paranoid of Shelly of course. He's stressing out badly. He has the best chance to win amongst the top 4. and the best chance of being voted out in the 2nd eviction out of the 4.

Jordan 4-1: In BB11 she didn't win many comps until the final 3 , and she certainly is no strategic whiz, to her credit she played a fine social game, but still she made it that far the same way Shelly got 3rd in BB9, the same way April got 4th in BB6, the same way George got 5th in all-stars, the same way Robert got 3rd in BB4, the same way Monica got 3rd in BB2: no one wanted to waste an HOH on her. These people that I just mentioned eventually got evicted when the others ran out of people to evict. Jordan was nominated week 2, and stayed because Laura was a bigger threat. It's why Jeff got voted out instead of her, why Michelle was evicted instead of her, but she was the person that stood up and won that last HOH, and got the votes to win. The same sort of thing is kinda happening again, you can see it. If things go south for her and Jeff, Jeff will go, at that point will the others decide she doesn't need to be dealt with?

Adam 4-1: My gut feeling is he was looking for reasons, any reasons to not piss off Jeff and flip. He looked back on Dani nominating him, IF that was really the reason not to flip, my opinion is he should have been looking ahead to the fact that until a few hours ago it was probable that the vets (minus Dani) would stick together like glue and be the final 3, with Adam no better than 4th. I think he'd have a better chance eventually with Dani/Porsche/Shelly then with Jeff/Jordan/Rachel, but he wasn't interested. He's still not a huge target.

Shelly 5-1: She's really a hoot isn't she? Some will say she's two-faced, well ok I'll give you that. Some will say she's a hypocryte for acting all high and mighty, and then playing the way she plays. Ok I guess I'll give ya that. say what you will, she really keeps things hopping. For awhile there she annoyed me as well, but at this point not only do I want her to stick around, but I hope they bring her back again. She keeps it interesting.

Porsche 8-1: She's smarter than she lets on. She's my new "darkhorse" pick if one of the top 4 don't win. And if the house flips tonight, she could end up in great shape.

Rachel 20-1: Brendon said something to Julie about how he wanted Rachel to "shake things up". I think it's possible she might flip it tonight. She's starting to play the game which is almost stunning. Oh, she was playing the game before , but her and Brendon had the idea that it was all about winning comps. I still think she's burned too many bridges to get 4 votes from the jury, but we'll see.

Danielle 22-1: I was planning on talking about how Brendon coming back in the game pretty much ended it for her. She of course put herself in an incredible hole in week 3, but she could have dug out of it. The 3 HOH's that went Dani, Kalia, Dani should have made the evictees Brendon, Rachel, Jeff, in which case she'd be sitting good. But if if and buts were candy and nuts...Overall I like her a lot better than I did 4 years ago, for the most part she is funny and sociable, but man oh man does she have a nasty side to her if she doesn't get her way. I still hope she sticks around, but if she does I don't think she'd get the votes even if she makes it. Now if she and Rach were to both make it...

Kalia 50-1: If she wins this game, I'll stand on my head at the Wrap party.

Predictions: Well what's gonna happen today? What's gonna happen tonight? What's gonna happen later tonight? My gut tells me Rachel will indeed flip, and Kalia will be voted out 3-2. Maybe wishful thinking, but it's what I'm going with. Wouldn't be something if against all odds Dani finds a way to stay and then she's the 2nd one out tonight? I won't predict that. I'll say if it flips Jeff will be 2nd to go as I'll pick Porsche to win the HOH. Thats crazy as I still think Jeff's in good shape if he survives tonight. But I'll call it. Kalia out 3-2, Porsche HOH, Jeff 2nd evicted.

Ok that's it for now, this is one live show you do not want to miss!

MattD